October 2012 Visa Bulletin Predictions

UPDATE:  The November 2012 Visa Bulletin has been released.  Please click here to view the priority dates in our more recent blog post.


Recently, members of AILA (American Immigration Lawyers Association) discussed the Visa Bulletin, visa demand in the employment preference categories, and predictions for FY2012 and FY2013 with Charlie Oppenheim of the Department of State’s Visa Office. Below are some discussions of what could happen.  These are not assurances or guarantees by the Visa Office, as changes in visa usage can result in changes in the Visa Bulletin.  The October 2012 Visa Bulletin (the first Bulletin for FY2013) will likely be released next week.

Notes from that discussion are are as follows:

  • EB-2 India priority date will probably move to 2006 when the Visa Bulletin is published for October 2012. This is due in part to the retrogression in 2012, as well as the high level of EB-1 usage. India is expected to stay in 2006 for some time.  Slow movement in this category in FY2013 is expected.
  • EB-2 China priority date will be further ahead than India, but it is unknown yet by how much.
  • EB-2 Rest of World may go current in October, or it may go to early 2012 and then current in the November 2012 Visa Bulletin.
  • EB-3 worldwide should remain as posted for the rest of September.  Steady progress is expected in FY2013, unless heavy EB-1 and EB-2 usage in FY2013, which would slow the speed of EB-3 worldwide.

The Law Offices of Dayna Kelly will update it’s readers as soon as the November 2012 Visa Bulletin is released.  Click the “Subscribe to our Blog” button on the right of the screen to be notified of our posts via email or social media.


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